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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Illinois St.

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:114.0
Current RPI:114
Expected SOS:99
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:133
Expected OOC SOS:10


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1454.84%114.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA71-60L0%0.0
11-16Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH67-66W100%0.0
11-19South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH67-83L0%0.0
11-21Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH72-56W100%0.0
11-24Maryland (14.0)B10N66-77L0%0.0
11-25TCU (174.0)B12N60-71L0%0.0
11-30Kentucky (11.0)SECA75-63L0%0.0
12-5UAB (88.0)CUSAH61-74L0%0.0
12-13Murray St. (169.0)OVCH63-61W100%0.0
12-16Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA60-72W100%0.0
12-19Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10A79-65L0%0.0
12-22Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH66-55W100%0.0
12-30Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH74-61W100%0.0
1-3Drake (325.0)MVCA62-67W100%0.0
1-6Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH54-52W100%0.0
1-9Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA77-65L0%0.0
1-12Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA81-78L0%0.0
1-15Evansville (93.0)MVCH55-66L0%0.0
1-20Bradley (306.0)MVCA52-55W100%0.0
1-23Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH76-67W100%0.0
1-26Drake (325.0)MVCH76-64W100%0.0
1-30Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA84-81L0%0.0
2-3Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA70-78W100%0.0
2-6Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH58-53W100%0.0
2-11Evansville (93.0)MVCA60-70W100%0.0
2-14Bradley (306.0)MVCH75-60W100%0.0
2-17Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH78-50W100%0.0
2-20Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA75-66L0%0.0
2-24Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH73-50W100%0.0
2-27Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA74-58L0%0.0
3-4Indiana St. (172.0)MVCN57-65L0%0.0